Gracenote said it uses “extensive simulations to assess the chances for each team to reach different stages of the tournament.” Predictions will be updated daily throughout the tournament, but as it stands, Brazil has a 20 percent chance of lifting the trophy after losing just three times in 50 games since the 2018 World Cup. Argentina has 16 percent chance of becoming world champion for the first time since 1986.
While the teams would meet in the semifinals if both won their respective pool, Gracenote simulations predict that the teams will meet in the final.
The main European contenders for the trophy this year are Spain and the Netherlands, both with a seven percent chance of taking the trophy. Belgium has a six percent chance, France a five percent chance and England a three percent chance.
Gracenote, which originally developed its own football rankings in 2002, predicts that the last 16 will be Argentina, Brazil, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Belgium, France, Uruguay, Denmark, England, Germany, Switzerland, Ecuador, Croatia, Iran and Mexico.
Gleave added: “Based on their dominance in international football since the last World Cup, Gracenote predicts that Brazil and Argentina will outperform their competitors in the upcoming tournament. No other team has been as consistent as the two over the past four years. southern teams.” American giants and this consistency means there’s a good chance one of them will triumph in front of a worldwide audience of fans.
Contrary to Gracenote’s calculations, England was last week rated as the country most likely to win the World Cup in a calculation based on the collective insurable value of players.
Using the same Lloyd’s model that correctly identified Germany as winners in 2014 and France in 2018, England topped a ranking of statistics including wages, sponsorship, age and position on the field.
England’s Jude Bellingham is rated the most insurable player at the Fifa World Cup, followed by France’s Kylian Mbappé and Brazil’s Vinícius Júnior.