With just 11 games left, Manchester City can afford little if any mistakes if they want to retain their Premier League title. Liverpool usually provide a tough test – can they do it again?
Odds between Manchester City and Liverpool
Manchester City vs Liverpool betting preview
So now that the international break is over, it is immediately time for the run-up to the Premier League.
Liverpool need points in their hunt for a top four finish, while the hosts know they can afford very few slips in the last 11 games if they are to beat Arsenal at the top.
Of course, City’s job is made all the more difficult by the fact that they’re once again chasing the Treble, although at least they’ll have a rare midweek off after this game, so you don’t need to worry too much about player rotation .
Top scorer Erling Haaland will undoubtedly miss Norway’s Euro 2024 qualifiers, while Phil Foden is permanently out after surgery to remove his appendix.
For Liverpool, they hope their injury woes lessen – Luis Diaz is approaching fitness again and Darwin Nunez should be back, although Stefan Bajcetic has been ruled out for this season.
It’s usually a goalscoring match – both teams have scored in 10 of their last 12 matches (all venues), while one of the teams that failed to deliver on that front was the match that came just a few days after Liverpool won the title. in 2020. We can forgive them a few drinks…
The Reds have caused City a lot of trouble in recent years, but the fact is that they haven’t won this particular game in the Pep Guardiola era, when it’s not exactly hard to suggest they’re not the side they once were.
A look at their record shows just that: just three wins and seven defeats along the way in this season’s Premier League. In all competitions, they have lost four of their last six at Anfield, including lowly Bournemouth.
Expect City to claim the victory they need to keep pressure on the leaders.
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Manchester City vs Liverpool key statistics
- Both teams have scored in 10 of their last 12 matches.
- Of the 13 home games City have played, they have won 10 by at least two clear goals, including against Manchester United, Spurs and Newcastle.
- Erling Haaland has scored 42 City goals in just 37 appearances this season, but his injury is doubtful for this game.
- Mo Salah has scored in seven of his last ten games against Manchester City.
- City have won their last six games in all competitions, while at the Etihad they have won all eight games played in 2023.
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Manchester City vs Liverpool best bets
Man City (-1) wins on the handicap
In City’s two games ahead of the international window, Bunrley beat RB 6–0 and RB Leipzig 7–0 at the Etihad.
While those scores are exceptional, the fact is that City have had little trouble sending teams off at home this season, with 10 of their 13 home league games covering the one-goal handicap.
Among those beaten by such a margin were Manchester United, Tottenham and Newcastle, who all currently sit above Liverpool in the league table.
The possible absence of Haaland is an obvious concern, but City are far from a one-man side and in Julian Alvarez they have a ready-made replacement who will score goals in this line-up.
Rodri 2+ shots
Rodri is billed as a defensive midfielder and is a good example of the flexibility of the City line-up.
He is capable of making runs in the penalty area and also presents a real threat from set pieces.
The Spaniard is on his way to his best ever season in terms of shots and has scored 2+ in seven of his last 10 appearances for City.
He also landed this bet in both appearances for Spain last week.
Both teams to score and more than 2.5 goals
A bet that has landed in seven of the last 10 encounters – no surprise given the attacking philosophies of both managers.
Regardless of Haaland’s fitness, it’s hard to imagine Liverpool keeping the hosts out as Liverpool will always have a threat going the other way with Mo Salah having an excellent record in this match – only against Manchester United scored more goals in his career.
City have managed to keep just one clean sheet in eight home games against the current top 12 and that trend looks set to continue here.
How to watch Manchester City vs Liverpool
- Place: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England.
- Time: Saturday, April 1, 12:30 BST.
- Where to look: BT Sport 1.
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