Tim Black argued that the Prime Minister was pushing for a “never-rendham” campaign based on the threat of a referendum rather than the actual second vote. Mr Black argued that Scotland has no majority of independence and Scottish voters do not consider it a priority.
He added that SNPs actually gained more leverage and mobilized more of their bases with the threat of a referendum rather than the actual votes they knew they would probably lose.
He wrote on the libertarian website Spiked:
“This seems to have happened almost every two years since Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon and her SNP colleagues resolved in 2016 that British voters would leave the EU.
“So, in 2017, riding the rest of the resentment wave, the sturgeon announced plans for the so-called Indy Ref 2 to be held in 2018.
“When that didn’t happen inevitably, she requested IndyRef2 for 2020-this didn’t happen either. Now she announces that IndyRef2 will be held on October 19, 2023. did.
“It may not be, but it will definitely be. Under the conditions of Scottish law, which provides the constitutional foundation of the Scottish Parliament, the issue of coalition is a matter that only the Westminster Parliament can control.
“So if Westminster says no to IndyRef2 next October, that would definitely be the case, but there’s not much the Scottish government can do about it.
“Yes, the sturgeon asked the Supreme Court to decide whether it was the Scottish Government’s authority to hold a referendum, especially if it was simply” consultation “rather than” administration. ” ..
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“Therefore, sturgeons have already said that if IndyRef2 in 2023 does not occur, they will treat the next general election as a de facto referendum on independence. Anyway, how the SNP treats all elections.
“In addition, SNPs are completely pleased with the ongoing demand for a referendum that will never be realized.
“This isn’t really the case, as it’s a dirty secret behind the party’s attitude towards IndyRef 2.
“Mainly because SNPs are likely to lose the referendum on independence in the near future.”
Black shared what the stats say about the potential of IndyRef 2. The miserable SNP government is doing poorly.
“Since 2021, the majority of polls have seen about 45% of the votes for independence in the first referendum, which is exactly the same as the 2014 vote.
“It’s also because the referendum threat is, in a sense, more politically useful to the SNP than the actual referendum. This threat gives the SNP an edge over Westminster.
“That means we can force concessions to the central government, which doesn’t really and openly want a referendum.
“The SNP Never Endam campaign may be suitable for the political objectives of its own narrow party, but it does nothing in favor of Britain’s political life.”