Just two months after Northern Ireland participated in the poll, speculation is circulating that the Democratic Unionist Party is trying another parliamentary election.
His theory is as follows. With the Protocol bill passing Westminster, the party is in the best position to regain the support of its members lost on May 5.
Voters who chose Jim Allister’s TUV or were at home are motivated to do something else.
The Sinn Féin party has 27 Staumont seats compared to the 25 Democratic Unionist seats. Thousands of votes returning to the party in some constituencies could mean it’s a few inches away and will be returned as the top dog in a hilltop house.
So Sir Jeffrey Donaldson puts the interests of his Protocol in his pocket, refuses to form a new executive by the Halloween deadline, and the Secretary of State calls for an election.
The Democratic Unionist Party won, regained the lead in the Capitol, and Michelle O’Neill never actually became prime minister.
I don’t think this is Sir Jeffrey’s plan, as it is the political pie that the Democratic Unionist Party believes is destined to win the next election.
I lost three seats: North Down, North Antrim and Strangford. Alex Easton, who left the party last year and took an independent position, won about 10,000 votes in the Northdown. This is more than the combined number of two Democratic Unionist candidates.
Even with some resurrection for his previous party, it’s unbelievable that it could take his Northdown seat away from him.
When Patricia Olin beats Mervyn Story by 288 votes in the final count, DUP has a chance to regain the seats lost in North Antrim to the Alliance.
But at Strangford, the odds are undoubtedly piled up for regaining Peter Weir’s seat at the Alliance’s Nick Mathison.
In order for it to scream, TUV’s Stephen Cooper, who came in very strong 6th place, had to stand aside, which is unlikely.
But say North Down, North Antrim, and Strangford all went the DUP path with Sir Jeffrey’s little miracle. That doesn’t mean it will emerge as the biggest party.
Brandon Lewis is legally required to summon a parliamentary election if no executives are formed by October 28.
However, Northern Ireland has traditionally had tighter deadlines, which is not a government that dislikes changes in rules and laws.
The Sinn Féin party was significantly ahead of the Democratic Unionist Party in a popularity poll two months ago — 29% to 21%. Michelle O’Neill has a clear mission to become prime minister.
Calling another election will be seen by nationalists as London denies democracy and re-votes to ensure that members return to the top spot.
I don’t think even this apologetic excuse for the government is tactically stupid and reckless. Sir Jeffrey is too long to take action on Lewis.
It will be a crocodile election on stilts of the Sinn Féin party. The party will secure huge votes and the SDLP will be wiped out.
Even the most moderate nationalists will switch to O’Neill’s party to give DUP the bloodiest nose.
The Sinn Féin party could win a third seat in Southdown at the expense of SDLP’s Colin McGrath.
In East Delhi’s second seat, SDLP’s Cara Hunter may have lost to Kathleen McGark.
In the Upper Van, Sinn Féin’s Liam McCull hopes to defeat the Alliance Owen Tennyson in such a polarized situation.
Being beaten to second place twice in a few months by Michelle O’Neill’s party wouldn’t look good to the Democratic Unionist Party or unionism.
Rather than another parliamentary poll later this year, the party is now looking to the parliamentary elections in May next year.
The aim is to prevent TUV from gaining new momentum by its representatives strengthening their ground games and returning a large number of new councilors throughout Northern Ireland.
Elections are expensive and exhausted, and the parties here do not immediately have the heart of another election. DUP did not like to be the runner-up of the Sinn Féin party, but is fully aware of the risks associated with re-execution attempts.